Nobel Update

As many of you have no doubt heard by now, Quintus Pfuffnick has turned down the Nobel Prize in Economics. (The prize ceremony conflicts with one of his final exams.) Tomorrow we will find out who his replacement will be. Here is the betting in the Nobel pool at Harvard:

Robert Barro -10%
John Taylor - 8%
Paul Milgrom - 8%
Jean Tirole - 6%
Oliver Williamson - 6%
Martin Weitzman - 6%
Eugene Fama - 5%
Richard Thaler - 5%
Lars Hansen - 4%
Paul Romer - 4%