Wednesday, June 29, 2016
Monday, June 27, 2016
Tuesday, June 21, 2016
Monday, June 20, 2016
On the Alesina Hypothesis
In my recent NY Times article, I explored several hypotheses to explain slow growth. One was based on work by Alberto Alesina and Silvia Ardagna suggesting that the standard Keynesian view of tax and spending multipliers is inconsistent with the international evidence.
Paul Krugman says the Alesina-Ardagna work has been "refuted." Nothing could be further from the truth. See this recent paper by Alesina, Favero, and Giovazzi on fiscal consolidations, which reports evidence consistent with the earlier work and is forthcoming in the peer-reviewed Journal of International Economics. (By the way, this work is also consistent with the Romers' finding of large tax multipliers, much larger than the literature finds for spending multipliers.)
To be sure, these issues continue to be debated. Remember: My piece was presenting hypotheses about what has been happening in the economy, not taking a stand about which one is right. From my perspective, the Alesina work suggests a still plausible hypothesis.
Paul Krugman says the Alesina-Ardagna work has been "refuted." Nothing could be further from the truth. See this recent paper by Alesina, Favero, and Giovazzi on fiscal consolidations, which reports evidence consistent with the earlier work and is forthcoming in the peer-reviewed Journal of International Economics. (By the way, this work is also consistent with the Romers' finding of large tax multipliers, much larger than the literature finds for spending multipliers.)
To be sure, these issues continue to be debated. Remember: My piece was presenting hypotheses about what has been happening in the economy, not taking a stand about which one is right. From my perspective, the Alesina work suggests a still plausible hypothesis.
Friday, June 17, 2016
Sunday, June 12, 2016
Bad ideas never die
In the Silicon Valley suburbs, activists are pushing for laws that limit rents, even though, as the article says, "economists have an almost universally dim view of rent control."
Monday, June 06, 2016
Wednesday, June 01, 2016
Elinor Ostrom in the news (sort of)
A friend emails me:
This article in the today's NY Times discusses how musicians who play near the site where John Lennon died have had trouble managing the common resource of a strategically placed park bench. Currently, however, they have worked out an informal arrangement that appears to work well. The article reminded me of the work of Elinor Ostrom, who was awarded the Nobel Prize in part for her work on self-governance of the commons.
This article in the today's NY Times discusses how musicians who play near the site where John Lennon died have had trouble managing the common resource of a strategically placed park bench. Currently, however, they have worked out an informal arrangement that appears to work well. The article reminded me of the work of Elinor Ostrom, who was awarded the Nobel Prize in part for her work on self-governance of the commons.