Prediction from the Fair Model
51.91 for the Democrats and 48.09 for the Republicans, for a spread of 3.82.
Update: The actual spread was 5.4.
Random Observations for Students of Economics
I am the Robert M. Beren Professor of Economics at Harvard University, where I teach introductory economics (ec 10). I use this blog to keep in touch with my current and former students. Teachers and students at other schools, as well as others interested in economic issues, are welcome to use this resource.