The Next President?
From the market at Intrade, here are the probabilities as of Sunday morning:
P(Obama) = 0.41
P(McCain) = 0.34
P(Clinton) = 0.24
2/11 Monday morning update:
P(Obama) = 0.46
P(McCain) = 0.33
P(Clinton) = 0.21
2/13 Wednesday morning update:
P(Obama) = 0.50
P(McCain) = 0.31
P(Clinton) = 0.18
P(Obama) = 0.41
P(McCain) = 0.34
P(Clinton) = 0.24
2/11 Monday morning update:
P(Obama) = 0.46
P(McCain) = 0.33
P(Clinton) = 0.21
2/13 Wednesday morning update:
P(Obama) = 0.50
P(McCain) = 0.31
P(Clinton) = 0.18
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